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occasional papers books

additional publications

See also Blue Horizon research papers

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Occasional Papers

1. Reachback Operations for Air Campaign Planning and Execution, by Scott M. Britten, Sep 1997 [HTML]
2. Lasers in Space: Technological Options for Enhancing US Military Capabilities, by Mark E. Rogers, Nov 1997 [HTML]
3. Non-Lethal Technologies: Implications for Military Strategy, by Joseph Siniscalchi, Mar 1998 [HTML]
4. Perils of Reasoning by Historical Analogy: Munich, Vietnam, and American Use of Force Since 1945, by Jeffrey Record, Mar 1998 [HTML]
5. Lasers and Missile Defense: New Concepts for Space-based and Ground-based Laser Weapons, by William H. Possel, July 1998 [HTML]
6. Weaponization Of Space: Understanding Strategic and Technological Inevitabilities, by Thomas D. Bell, Jan 1999 [HTML]
7. Legal Constraints on Information Warfare, by Mark R. Shulman, Mar 1999
8. Serbia and Vietnam: A Preliminary Comparison of U.S. Decisions to Use Force, by Jeffrey Record, May 1999
9. Airborne and Space-Based Lasers: An Analysis of Technological and Operational Compatibility, by Kenneth W. Barker, June 1999
10. Directed Energy and Fleet Defense: Implications for Naval Warfare, by William J. McCarthy, May 2000 [HTML] [DOC]
11. High Power Microwaves: Strategic and Operational Implications for Warfare, by Eileen M. Walling, Feb 2000 [HTML] [DOC]
12. Reusable Launch Vehicles and Space Operations, by John E. Ward Jr., May 2000
13. Cruise Missiles and Modern War: Strategic and Technological Implications, by David J. Nicholls, May 2000
14. Deeply Buried Facilities: Implications for Military Operations, by Eric M. Sepp, May 2000
15. Technology and Command: Implications for Military Operations in the Twenty-first Century, by William B. McClure, July 2000 [HTML] [DOC]
16. Unmanned Aerial Vehicles: Implications for Military Operations, by David Glade, July 2000 [DOC]
17. Computer Networks and Information Warfare: Implications for Military Operations, by David J. Gruber, July 2000
18. Failed States and Casualty Phobia: Implications for Force Structure and Technology Choices, by Jeffrey Record, Sep 2000 [DOC]
19. War as We Knew It: The Real Revolution in Military Affairs/Understanding Paralysis in Military Operations, by Jan S. Breemer, Dec 2000
20. Using Lasers in Space:Laser Orbital Debris Removal and Asteroid Deflection, by Jonathan W. Campbell, Dec 2000
21. Weapons for Strategic Effect: How Important Is Technology? Colin S. Gray, Jan 2001
22. U. S. Army Apache Helicopters and U. S. Air Force Expeditionary Forces: Implications for Future Military Operations, by Brad Mason, June 2001
23. The End of Secrecy? Military Competitiveness in the Age of Transparency, by Beth M. Kaspar, Aug 2001
24. Prompt Global Strike Through Space: What Military Value? Larry G. Sills, Aug 2001
25. Precision Engagement at the Strategic Level of War: Guiding Promise or Wishful Thinking? Timothy J. Sakulich, Dec 2001 [DOC]
26. Infrared Systems for Tactical Aviation: An Evolution in Military Affairs? George B. Hept, Jan 2002 [DOC]
27. Unmanned Undersea Vehicles and Guided Missile Submarines: Technological and Operational Synergies, by Edward A. Johnson, Jr, Feb 2002 [DOC]
28. Attack Operations for Missile Defense, by Merrick E. Krause, May 2002 [DOC]
29. Death by a Thousand Cuts: Micro-Air Vehicles in the Service of Air Force Missions, by Arthur F. Huber II, July 2002 [DOC]
30. Sustained Space Superiority: a National Strategy for the United States, by Larry J. Schaefer, Aug 2002 [DOC]
31. Hyperspectral Imagery: Warfighting through a Different Set of Eyes, by Paul J. Pabich, Oct 2002 [DOC]
32. Directed Energy Weapons on the Battlefield: a New Vision for 2025, by John P. Geis II, Apr 2003 [DOC]
33. Homeland Security and the Coast Guard: Postured for Technology Improvements, by Arthur C. Walsh, June 2003 [DOC]
34. Non-Lethal Weapons: Setting Our Phasers on Stun? Potential Strategic Blessings and Curses of Non-Lethal Weapons on the Battlefield, by Erik L. Nutley, Aug 2003
35. Aircrew Performance: Cutting-Edge Tech, by Kris M. Belland, Sep 2003
36. Centralized Control with Decentralized Execution: Never Divide the Fleet?, by Daniel F. Baltrusaitis, June 2004
37. The Decision Maker's Guide to Robust, Reliable and Inexpensive Access to Space, by Gary N. Henry, July 2004
38. Global Mobility: Anywhere, Anytime, Any Threat? Countering the MANPADS Challenge, by Jacqueline D. van Ovost, Dec 2005
39. Strategies for Defeating Commercial Imaging Systems, by Stephen Latchford, Dec 2005

Papers 40-51 were consolidated into the book Netted Bugs and Bombs: Implications for 2010 below

52. Ground Truth: The Implications of Joint Interdependence for Air and Ground Operations, by L. Ross Roberts, Mar 2006
53. “Heads, Not Tails:” How Best To Engage Theater Ballistic Missiles?, by Ronald C. Wiegand, Feb 2006
54. Transcendental Terrorism And Dirty Bombs: Radiological Weapons Threat Revisited, by Chad Brown, Feb 2006
55. International Arament Cooperative Programs: Benefits, Liabilities, and Self-Inflicted Wounds – The JSF As A Case Study, by Stephen G. Di Domenico, Feb 2006
56. War Without Oil: A Catalyst For True Transformation, by Michael J. Hornitschek, Feb 2006
57. The Seductive Effects of an Expeditionary Mindset, by Michael Arnold, Feb 2007

Papers 58-60 were consolidated into the book Streamlining DoD Acquisition: Balancing Schedule with Complexity below

61. * The Air Force in silico - Computational Biology in 2025, by Christopher Coates, Nov 2007
62. * Biofuels: an Alternative to U.S. Air Force Petroleum Fuel Dependency, by Mark S. Danigole, Dec 2007
63. * Air Force and the Cyberspace Mission Defending the Air Force's Computer Network in the Future, by Shane P. Courville, Dec 2007
64. * Next Generation Nanotechnology Assembly Fabrication Methods: a Trend Forecast, by Vincent T. Jovene Jr, Jan 2008

65. * Blue Horizons II: Future Capabilities and Technologies for the Air Force in 2030, Executive Summary, by Geis et al, July 2009
66. * Resurgent Russia in 2030: Challenge for the USAF, by Hailes et al, Sep 2009
67. * Failed State 2030: Nigeria - A Case Study, by Kinnan et al, Feb 2011
68. * Discord or "Harmonious Society"? China in 2030, by Geis et al, Feb 2011

* = written for the Air Force Blue Horizon project

Books

• Streamlining DoD Acquisition: Balancing Schedule with Complexity, ed. by Rothenflue and Kwolek, Sep 2006
  • Chapter 1 - A System as the Enemy: A Doctrinal Approach to Defense Force Modernization, Occ.Paper No. 58, by Benjamin A. Drew
  • Chapter 2 - Impact of Weapon System Complexity on Systems Acquisition, Occ.Paper No. 59, by Robert A. Dietrick
  • Chapter 3 - Faster Is Better…Can the USAF Acquisition Process Be SAIV’D?, Occ.Paper No. 60, by James L. Chittenden

• Netted Bugs and Bombs: Implications for 2010
  • Front matter
  • PART I - Network-centric Operations: Promises and Pitfalls
    • Chapter 1 - Network Warfare Operations: Unleashing the Potential, Occ.Paper No. 40, by Richard A. Lipsey, Nov 2005
    • Chapter 2 - Network-centric Operations: Challenges and Pitfalls, Occ.Paper No. 41, by Eric E. Silbaugh, Nov 2005
    • Chapter 3 - Network-enabled Precision Guided Munitions , Occ.Paper No. 42, by Benjamin F. Koudelka Jr., Nov 2005
    • Chapter 4 - Lowering the High Ground: Using Near-Space Vehicles for Persistent C3ISR, Occ.Paper No. 43, by Andrew J. Knoedler, Nov 2005
  • Part II: UAVs in 2010: Lean and Lethal
    • Chapter 5 - Unmanned Combat Aerial Vehicles: SEAD and EW for the Future, Occ.Paper No. 44, by James C. Horton, Nov 2005
    • Chapter 6 - Small Power: The Role of Micro and Small UAVs in the Future, Occ.Paper No. 45, by James M. Abatti, Nov 2005
    • Chapter 7 - Pesky Critters, Occ.Paper No. 46, by Kirk M. Kloepple, Nov 2005
    • Chapter 8 - Pandora’s Box Opened Wide: UAVs Carrying Genetic Weapons, Occ.Paper No. 47, by Daryl J. Hauck, Nov 2005
  • Part III: Silver Bullets in Search of a Six Shooter
    • Chapter 9 - Perfecting War: Searching for the Silver Bullet , Occ.Paper No. 48, by Eric J. Schnitzer, Nov 2005
    • Chapter 10 - Who Pushes the Pickle Button?, Occ.Paper No. 49, by John E. Marselus, Nov 2005
    • Chapter 11 - Leveraging Simulation Against the F-16 Flying Training Gap, Occ.Paper No. 50, by Shaun R. McGrath, Nov 2005
    • Chapter 12 - Electromagnetic Pulse Threats in 2010, Occ.Paper No. 51, by Colin R. Miller, Nov 2005
  • Information about Contributors

Additional Publications

• additional papers from Blue Horizon (see also occasional papers above)
  • Acquisition Leaders for Rapid Technology Insertion Programs, by Christopher M. Coombs, Dec 2007
  • Improving Satellite Protection with Nanotechnology, by Joseph Huntington, Dec 2007